Ingrid Betancourt

As far as the CRAF this one san lost to two of its seven main heads (and Tirofijo possibly has lost to one of its daughters) whereas note whom a turn in the popular opinion against these are. On the other hand, the CRAF can have managed to extend their international image appearing like victims whom an aggressor who killed to who was negotiating the liberation of Ingrid Betancourt. Also they have seen that the president of Nicaragua has described them like companions or that the one of Venezuela did a minute of silence before the death of Kings. However, the CRAF is in crossroads. They cannot take the power. They have 20.000 combatants less than and their adversaries own almost 400.000 very well armed men and, most important, they count on endorsement in the population. The CRAF, that initially woke up solidarity in many layers promoting agrarian reforms or social measures, has been losing support with their kidnappings and entailments with the cocaine.

In the end Tirofijo knows that it does not have left alternative than to negotiate, although he does not want to do it in conditions of defeat (thing that does not want Chvez either). Some sectors of the guerrilla can that are hostile to leave to the mount (they have created a life style there) although others could realize that the guerrilla way does not give to majors results and look for to connect themselves in the unions stops to revitalize itself. When Uribe attacked the camping of Kings many worried about the destiny about the Betancourt, although he calculated that the best way to negotiate for the liberation of the 700 captives of the CRAF was to go mining it, although it would be expanding the process. The situation of Chvez As far as Chvez he has appeared like a continental caudillo that it will show his town his capacity to orchestrate an international isolation against his neighbor to whom commited itself to him to retractar itself.